Overall severe threat is lower, active afternoon and evening still ahead

Weather

Thursday night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and storms, a few storms could be strong early. Winds: W 5-10 mph, Low: 69 (66-71)

Friday: Partly cloudy and breezy at times. Winds: NW 10-20 mph, High: 86 (81-89), Low: 58 (54-61)

Saturday: Mostly sunny skies. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80’s with lows in the upper 50’s to lower 60’s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and storms. Highs will be in the 80’s with lows in the lower to middle 60’s.

Monday: Partly cloudy skies. Highs will be in the 80’s with lows in the 60’s.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80’s with lows in the lower to middle 60’s.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies. Highs will be in the 80’s with lows in the 60’s.

Forecast Discussion

The first batch of rain and storms will move in around mid-day associated with what’s left of the morning storm complex. Storms will remain scattered about the area through the afternoon, but there should be a break for some of us into the evening. The second batch of storms will arrive with the actual cold front this evening into the overnight hours. Thankfully we’ll start to lose heating as the sun sets, which will keep overnight storms a little more tame. Even still, severe weather is possible all afternoon into the overnight, with an Enhanced Risk in place just to our northeast. The most likely threats are strong winds, hail, and flash flooding, with a spin-up tornado not out of the question.

Here’s the good news: the forecast is looking great the rest of the way through. Canadian high pressure will fall into place behind this potent storm system for Friday and Saturday. At first, humidity will be the first to drop with breezy conditions Friday. Saturday will be both cool and comfortable under plenty of sunshine. Another cold front is set to bring back a brief batch of showers and storms Sunday, but also usher in more cool air for Monday. We’ll be watching how a coastal low sets up for the middle of next week, as we could see additional showers into next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Stay weather aware out there today and have a great Thursday!

Meteorologist Damon Matson

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